Thermal Imagery-Derived Surface Inundation Modeling to Assess Flood Risk in a Flood-Pulsed Savannah Watershed in Botswana and Namibia

نویسندگان

  • Jeri J. Burke
  • Narcisa G. Pricope
  • James Blum
چکیده

The Chobe River Basin (CRB), a sub-basin of the Upper Zambezi Basin shared by Namibia and Botswana, is a complex hydrologic system that lies at the center of the world’s largest transfrontier conservation area. Despite its regional importance for livelihoods and biodiversity, its hydrology, controlled by the timing and relative contributions of water from two regional rivers, remains poorly understood. An increase in the magnitude of flooding in this region since 2009 has resulted in significant displacements of rural communities. We use an innovative approach that employs time-series of thermal imagery and station discharge data to model seasonal flooding patterns, identify the driving forces that control the magnitude of flooding and the high population density areas that are most at risk of high magnitude floods throughout the watershed. Spatio-temporal changes in surface inundation determined using NASA Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) thermal imagery (2000–2015) revealed that flooding extent in the CRB is extremely variable, ranging from 401 km2 to 5779 km2 over the last 15 years. A multiple regression model of lagged discharge of surface contributor basins and flooding extent in the CRB indicated that the best predictor of flooding in this region is the discharge of the Zambezi River 64 days prior to flooding. The seasonal floods have increased drastically in magnitude since 2008 causing large populations to be displaced. Over 46,000 people (53% of Zambezi Region population) are living in high magnitude flood risk areas, making the need for resettlement planning and mitigation strategies increasingly important.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Rainfall Runoff Modelling and Inundation Analysis of Bagmati River at Terai Region of Nepal

Climatic variability, unplanned land use pattern and encroachment into the flood plain are affecting the hydrology of Bagmati river basin of Nepal. In this study, methodology to improve present flood management system with non-structural countermeasures has been elaborated. Study of hydrological condition, basin scale rainfall runoff modeling and inundation analysis is helpful to prepare commun...

متن کامل

Simulation of floodplain zones in Tehran's metropolitan watershed (case study: Kaan basin)

Simulation of floodplain zones in Tehran's metropolitan watershed (case study: Kaan basin) Ezaatollah Ghanavati, Associate prof. Geographical science faculty, Kharzmi University Ali Ahmmadabadi. Assistance prof. Geographical science faculty, Kharzmi University Negar Gholami, MA in Geomorphology, Geographical science faculty, Kharzmi University Extended abstract Floodplains and adjacent riv...

متن کامل

Simulation of floodplain zones in Tehran's metropolitan watershed (case study: Kaan basin)

Simulation of floodplain zones in Tehran's metropolitan watershed (case study: Kaan basin) Ezaatollah Ghanavati, Associate prof. Geographical science faculty, Kharzmi University Ali Ahmmadabadi. Assistance prof. Geographical science faculty, Kharzmi University Negar Gholami, MA in Geomorphology, Geographical science faculty, Kharzmi University Extended abstract Floodplains and adjacent riv...

متن کامل

An Information System for Risk-Vulnerability Assessment to Flood

An exhaustive knowledge of flood risk in different spatial locations is essential for developing an effective flood mitigation strategy for a watershed. In the present study, a risk-vulnerability analysis to flood is performed. Four components of vulnerability to flood: 1) physical, 2) economic, 3) infrastructure and 4) social; are evaluated individually using a Geographic Information System (G...

متن کامل

Integrating Radarsat-2, Lidar, and Worldview-3 Imagery to Maximize Detection of Forested Inundation Extent in the Delmarva Peninsula, USA

Natural variability in surface-water extent and associated characteristics presents a challenge to gathering timely, accurate information, particularly in environments that are dominated by small and/or forested wetlands. This study mapped inundation extent across the Upper Choptank River Watershed on the Delmarva Peninsula, occurring within both Maryland and Delaware. We integrated six quad-po...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Remote Sensing

دوره 8  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016